N. P. Upadhyaya, Kathmandu: President Xi Jinping was in Nepal for not more than twenty one hours to be exact. He made a history yet.
But his brief stay in this India controlled ‘12 point nation’ created visible fissures in and among the top stalwarts of the ruling Nepal Communist Party which in effect is “made in India” and the forced combination of the two namesake communist parties, for example, the UML of the Mahakali notoriety and the India’s strategically designed Maoists party of the 12 point infamy of the year 2005-6.

Thanks father Shyam Saran for your republic.

It was this 12 point Indian phenomenon that fractured politics whose negative reverberations could still be felt by those who were not in the India’s RAW net as of now.
The common people have been feeling the heat of the 12 point change.

Moreover, President Xi’s visit has also divided Nepali intellectuals into two opposing camps. Though the nation is already in a polarized state.

Two thirds is India and the rest supports China.

The first has immense hatred for China and its President and claims that Xi has exported his “ism” in Nepal which compels one to conclude that the first set tentatively prefers the Indian hegemony in Nepal to continue and that instead of the increase in the Chinese influence in Nepal, the Indian coercion and barbarism on Nepal should continue. These were the India controlled intellectuals who now have begun fearing that Nepal’s dependence on China is sure to increase. Shame on these INGO affiliated intellectuals?

This reminds of King Mahendra’s famous reiteration that “Communism doesn’t travel by taxi” which he said when he was criticized by Indian establishment and its agents in Nepal that the Kodari road that links Kathmandu with the Tibetan border at Tato Pani will invite Chinese communist in the otherwise Pundit Nehruised the then Nepal.

And yet this set claims that they were strong nationalists. The common people for fear of being brutally penalized do not differ with their false claim. These indoctrinated intellectuals aim to ruin this nation and it is their agenda.

A different branch of the same tree of this set of Nepali literati lauded the Indian economic blockade on Nepal of the year 2015. Some even went to “block and interrupt” the border point in Raxaul and allowed India-the wicked and the worst neighbor, to cry foul against Nepal.

Virtually some of our own “respected” nationals/writers/litterateurs played villain at time of the Indian blockade if one were to recall those dangerous days.

Some “influenced” Nepali intellectuals are dishonest when it comes to the flow of the Chinese assistance in Nepal. It is this set of depraved tutors that India has been allowed to make greater inroads into the Nepali politics. Clearly these Mera Bharat Mahan scholars have made Nepal weaker. This set locally is micro-managed by the Indian envoy posted in Nepal.

The second set which is, needless to say, also an India programmed/trained one rejects China’s helps to Nepal in that such a China assistance to Nepal shall push this country into what is called the Chinese debt trap which in itself is an India manufactured theory.

This set that includes some vibrant media men were all against Nepal’s increased connectivity with China for they fear that such a connect shall diminish the uninterrupted Indian coercion and subjugation of Nepal.

Unfortunate Nepali nationals.

Greater connectivity with China is dangerous for Nepal, they say.

In saying so they in an indirect manner were serving Indian core interests simply because India feels insecure as and when Nepal talks of bringing in Chinese assistances to Nepal or even some leaders happen to land in Beijing.

King Birendra was just penalized and “taught a lesson” by the pilot turned immature Prime Minister of India Rajiv Gandhi when the former tried to bring in some “toy like weapons” from China at the end of the eighties.

A seven month long economic blockade was imposed on Nepal, beginning March 23, 1989, which was celebrated by Madhav Kumar Nepal-the then UML leader who even wanted the Indian military invasion of Nepal if the sitting monarch did not yield to the agitators’ demand who were basically India sponsored/elevated ones. Thanks Madan Bhandari averted this disaster.
And the same Madhav Nepal has made a somewhat sarcastic comment(s) on the recent visit of the Chinese President Xi Xinping.

Mr. Nepal in an oblique manner talks that with the visit of Xi Jinping, Nepal has become a highly vulnerable country and that Nepal being a small nation can’t satisfy the entire needs and the demands of any nation simply because Nepal can’t afford to take the side of any single country at the cost of the other.

Bluntly speaking, Mr. Nepal has some reservations if China demands from Nepal that its core security interests be protected from the Nepali soil which has been time and again assured by Nepal.
So why China repeatedly asks from Nepal that it should stick to “One China policy”?

(India too seeks, to keep in record, assurances from Nepal that its core security interests be protected by Nepal).

Admitably, China must have talked and demanded so when Beijing could have noticed that Nepal has not abided by its given assurances and the anti-China elements may have used the Nepali soil to destabilize the Chinese underbelly-Tibet.

China has the right to seek guaranteed assurances from Nepal as the latter can’t expect helps and assistances only both in cash and kind.

President Xi may have reminded Nepali leaders on the same which appears to have disturbed the mental peace of Madhav Kumar Nepal and et al.

Interestingly, after Xi’s departure from Nepal, the Dalai’s men from India reportedly tried to create some problems for China through Nepali soil.

However, the same Mr. Nepal has never uttered a single word when he knows that by this time India has gulped some sixty thousand square kilometers of landmass of Nepal.

He doesn’t speak when PM Modi lands in Nepal even uninvited and takes tutorial classes and gets things done in his country’s favor. Mr. Nepal did not speak against India when the Indian establishment lured Nepali leaders and made them all to sign and later ratify the Mahakali River treaty which went in favor of India. India took the River at a dirt cheap price and Mr. Nepal’s party was the key player in awarding the Mahakali River to India in the mid-nineties.

Mahakali treaty is a blot in Nepal’s face. The treaty stinks like anything.

In all, the former UML leader and one time Prime Minister of Nepal (he occupied this post even if he was defeated in the election through the kind courtesy of the Indian regime) hints that if Nepal were to satisfy the Chinese demands then that would eventually damage Nepal’s vibrant ties with the Indian republic, born 1947, and the world’s lone super power United States of America.

Mr. Nepal perhaps wants to hint the present day Nepali rulers that we can easily ignore the Chinese demands forwarding some India manufactured ruse and that we must not get seduced by the Chinese regime that may cost Nepal to lose the friendship of the India and the US. Though Nepal can’t afford to tease the US administration. This is a fact.

A fresh news claims that currently the US Pacific Command is having an important meet with the Nepal Army in Kathmandu. This does mean that Nepal attaches great importance to the US.

The US has nothing to panic in Nepal. The US Ambassador need some tricks to trap Nepali leaders. 

But why Madhav Kumar is so serious on safe guarding the Indian core interests? After all what is his inner design?

The answer is simple. Strong rumors have it that Mr. Nepal’s illustrious daughter studied in India with Indian embassy grant MBBS-scholarship.

She is, we have been told, now a medical practitioner serving some wherein Nepali territory.

Perhaps this must explain as to why Mr. Nepal has strong affiliation towards India-the third class inferiority complex ridden “traditional” neighbor and the blockade expert.

Is he paying the price of the Indian salt?

Modi is a devil for South Asia but the US President Trump is yet to understand this South Asian political termite who has distorted the very definition of Hinduism.

President Trump awaits a big cheat from Modi controlled India.

However, for Mr. Nepal and a few more Nepali nationals India is universe and that beyond India the civilization ends.

Mr. Nepal’s subtle anger with China just after President Xi Jinping’s visit has some political connotations.

A section of the intellectuals who understand Mr. Nepal better for his “visible India-tilt” conclude that Mr. Nepal together with the congregate of China haters may join and begin destabilizing Prime Minister KP Oli who to some extent appears now closer to China. But this should not mean that Oli has distanced India for Oli has yet to repay the Medanta Hospital debts for renal impairments.

But yet he speaks like a mature politician and says “we must not get carried away by any powers” which means that PM Oli shall make every efforts in maintaining balanced ties with India as well and also not forget the US friendship.

Oli speaking like King Prithvi Narayan Shah-the unifier of Nepal?

In fact, this is the right diplomacy on the part of Nepal to adhere to. Having said this, question remains as to why an India tortured PM Oli at time of the 2015 economic blockade did not make any visible efforts in connecting Nepali mainland with the bordering China’s Tibetan landmass which could have by this time, if he had tried then, been already linked Kathmandu and other points with China’s Tibet and thus lessened Indian dependency.

But PM Oli ignored this task which was very “pointedly” reminded by President Xi who bluntly declared that Nepal henceforth remains a land-connected country.

The Chinese President deserves deep appreciation for whatever he said of Nepal and assured this India subjugated/protectorate country that he will do everything in order to help support Nepal to get rid of Indian conditional mercy that has remained there since the very first day of the birth of this Indian republic 1947. Oh! India in the neighborhood!

Understandably, the Indian regime is not that happy with President Xi’s Nepal visit which the sadistic regime may have taken as Nepal using China card against India.

So if India is really annoyed with Xi’s Nepal trip and with the several agreements that China has signed with Nepal then take it for granted that India may have already come into action in unseating PM Oli’s regime in Nepal. Golden days for the Indian agents in Nepal.

Comrade Prachanda’s double-meaning comments on China and its President that coincides with Mr. Nepal’s indirect comments being made against President Xi do hint that India and its trusted and tested men in Nepal’s political paraphernalia must have kept themselves busy in assisting New Delhi’s design in bringing about an abrupt collapse of the Oli establishment in Nepal.

To borrow Maila Baje’s opinion expressed in his fresh article, he says, NCP co-chair, Pushpa Kamal Dahal, has started becoming malleable in all directions, suggesting that politics might take any turn

Fresh Madhesh agitation could be one option to destabilize PM Oli.

This suggests that Prachanda is thinking big disaster for Nepal. He has the RAW/NOIDA expertise under his sleeves.

Maila Baje further claims in his article that Dahal aka Prachanda yearns for an alliance with the Nepali Congress, even to the point of dismissing his party’s massive legislative majority.
Then similarly says Maila Baje of Madhav Nepal, October 13 that he didn’t have such qualms about the surfeit of India’s love in 2005-2006, perhaps because he probably still believes the 12 Point Agreement was among the finest examples of positive foreign intervention.

This is what Maila Baje believes. He takes the 12 point agreement as positive intervention by India on Nepal.

Maila Baje sums up the Xi’s fresh Nepal visit, in his own words, (sic) “President Xi Jinping’s two-day state visit to Nepal has been eventful in some novel ways. Capacity, cordiality, connectivity, containment, and commitment stood out as some of the catchwords during public pronouncements”.

Let’s presume that it is these novel pronouncements which must have irked India-the bad boy in the region. The 5c formula has some intrinsic meaning. Different C have different meaning in the conduct between two nations more so when they were immediate neighbors such as Nepal and China.  

Having said all these, yet India has abundant reasons to unseat PM Oli and replace him with its tested men in that Nepal’s defense minister Ishwar Pokhrel very freshly was awarded with 21 million worth Chinese sophisticated military hardware meant for the Nepal Army.

India thus has reasons to impose yet another blockade because Nepal has dared to bring in Chinese weapons without consulting the regional Goliath.

It is this possibility of another blockade that should be kept into account by Chinese President and help Nepal link with the Tibetan border points so that Nepal can import the necessary consumer goods from Tibet to overcome the penal actions of India on Nepal.

Thus all that Nepal immediately needs is not the arrival of rail/locomotive connectivity but greater road linkages to minimize the Indian dependence.

Indian spies must have thronged in Kathmandu to assess the Indian loss that could have been registered due to President Xi visit in Nepal.

Xi’s Nepal visit is also important in that this has taken immediately after the Chinese President Xi met with Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan and then flew to India and entered Nepal via India.

President Xi’s meet with the Pak Premier has the CPEC and the Kashmir dimension in it, then his visit to India has in a subtle manner something to do with the expectations of the endorsement of the China’s signature campaign the Belt and Road Initiative-the BRI.

President Xi prefers to convince India keeping the Wuhan spirit in mind.

But eventually, China shall have to teach a lesson to India.

But when China will teach such a lesson to India could not be guessed at this time simply because China needs the Indian endorsement for its BRI project of Himalayan dimension.

To sum up, how Nepal keeps India, China and the US at equal distance and that too in a convincing and pleasing manner shall perhaps determine the Nepali acumen in diplomatic conducts.
Our own analysis is that China shall enter South Asia and beyond through India and Pakistan and then will enter the vast Central Asian landmass which shall allow it to have a grand entrance in Western Europe. For some time now, India is real Chinese problem for the BRI.

Pakistan’s ties with Iran appear to have taken a new height with the bitterness that has developed in Iran-India ties of late.

To conclude, Nepal can’t do justice with its ties with the USA if foreign Minister Gyawali continues in his current post so needs to be changed for his visible tilt towards India which is not attending to the Azerbaizan NAM Summit to be held soon in a day or two. That’s all.

NB: Academic articles are most welcome. send your articles at editor@telegraphnepal.com