Nepal: Center of Gravity of world politics shifts to South Asia

“If it is so then the China-Russian Coalition may now prefer to enter Sri Lanka and the Maldives hopefully to blunt India’s uninterrupted “micromanagement”. Will Pakistan enter into this coalition as a competing South regional force? Why is the rush of world powers in this part of the world?

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Keep on guessing”. 

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N. P. Upadhyaya (Aryal)

Kathmandu: A heart tearing Tweet in the Twitter world made rounds after rounds and drew the attention of the world population towards Indian regime under merciless PM Modi.

Needless to say, it had its origin from the Indian regime which of late has become the darling of the USA.
However, question thus is how could a liberal US President of the sort of Joe Biden be tricked by the wickedest PM in South Asia- Modi?

President Biden must understand the Modi’s treachery masked in his fake modesty.

Minor mistakes of US President may bring in disasters in the entire South Asian region that is sure to shake the regional stability and peace.

Surely, the center of gravity of world politics has already shifted to South Asian region for a variety of political considerations after the advent of the QUAD.

The Tweet thus mentioned in the earlier paragraphs is simply atrocious and the children below fifteen, I would appeal, not to watch the video as the content in the video may hit hard the tender minds of the children across the globe.

Now about the unimaginable content of the twitter dated July 06, 2023:

“Neemuch district (Singoli) in Madhya Pradesh (India), one Adivasi youth-Kanhaiya Lal Bhil was tied to a truck and dragged for several kilometers, eventually he died in the hospital. Are they running the State of mowing the lawn?
This has happened in India and yet the US president or his high placed officials in the US administration find no time to speak on such a horrendous issue?

Is it simply because PM Modi’s Indian regime is needed strategically in South Asia for the US only to contain or encircle China?

The process of containment of China is best termed as “Great Game” by a former journalist turned Senator of Pakistan with distinct China tilt Moshahid Syed Hussain and the term in itself was first coined in Kathmandu.

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So much so that an Al Jazeera news dated 12 June, 2023, states that India has turned down a travel request for members of a US government panel seeking to review its religious freedom, saying foreign agencies had no standing to assess the constitutional rights of citizens.

India’s highly arrogant Foreign Minister S Jaishankar said the government firmly repudiated the surveys of the US Commission on International Religious Freedom (USCIRF), which had little knowledge of the rights of Indian citizens, describing it as biased and prejudiced.

This means that India under PM Modi shall not allow the US organizations to watch for themselves the real and existing situation of the minority Muslims and Dalits inside India.

Has the US become so weak that the Indian regime scorns the US?

After Indian visa denial, one drunken Prabesh Shukla urinated on a Dalit Indian national in a broad day light which tentatively went unnoticed by the Western World.

Shukla is talked to be a man of the affiliated with India’s ruling party-the BJP.

Why the US prefers silence as and when Indian regime under PM Modi creates scenes that are not only obnoxious but dreadful as well and that too for the world population?

Why is the continued US calm? But for what purpose?

Only because India is a political deterrent in the scheme of US-India relations and also for the security mechanism-the QUAD comprising of the US, India, Japan, and Australia?

Or is it that the US can’t flex its muscles sans the explicit support of the India’s Islamophobic regime?

Modi is an ace trickster who has mesmerized President Joe Biden over these years only to guarantee its safety as and when next door dragon neighbor pounces upon India with a much greater force as compared to the 1962 China-India War.

Will the US be India’s shield as and when China attacks India once again a la the Doklam ruffle?

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To recall, it was this war, 1962, whose humiliating defeat killed Pandit Jawahar Lal Nehru-the Indian PM.

Back to the point with Global Times:

Apart from the conventional repercussions here and there on increasing US-India hobnob, China’s official position apparently has been presented by Liu Zongyl Global Times Daily titled “Will the US and India be able to work together for long? Dated June 24, 2023, wherein the author says that “the US wants India to tie to the chariot of containing China, and even hopes that India can become the vanguard of containing China.

With the increase in the hatred in South Asia, India is already a sinking horse.

Nepal, B’desh, Bhutan and Maldives possess abundant hatred against India.

To threaten Bhutan, a himself terrified FS B. M. Quatra landed in Thimpu last week and may have served ultimatum.
To recall, Bhutan held several rounds of border talks in these weeks with China inside Chinese city of Kunming.
Thimpu has begun expressing simmering discontent against India.

Author Liu further claims that the US also hopes India can substitute or partially replace China in the global industrial chain, thus it advances cooperation with India in some high-tech aspects.

A close analysis of what Mr. Liu has said, what becomes pretty clear is that India’s choice is for a purpose and that the US prefers to use India to tame China or act like a veiled threat to the increasing vast Chinese technological advancements.

However, author Liu concurrently claims that India doesn’t wish to confront China as expected by the US, what India wants is to fire bullets on China by riding the US chariot.

This way, India too appears smart as India knows what China is for the Indian regime recalling the 1962 Indo-China war which, let’s presume, must have taught several lessons to India as to what means a sponsored and encouraged border conflict with China.

Claims Monsieur Bharat Dahal, a senior political analyst of the country that both US and India are tied to each other for a strategic purpose and it is nothing more than that of a marriage of convenience and that both shall drift with each other as an when their avowed purpose gets fulfilled.

The US needs India in South Asia, claims Bharat Dahal for strategic considerations.

However, he further says that he doesn’t think that the avowed strategic resolve of the US and India will see its positive conclusion simply because China by this time is well abreast with the diplomacies and the strategies being meticulously planned by the US and India combine against China.

Nevertheless, this US-India bond up shall heighten tensions and damage the prospects of regional stability and peace that is already in a disturbed order given the political upheaval in Pakistan of late.

Is Pakistan already the sick man of South Asia? Not yet perhaps.

Yes! For sure, the current chaos in Pakistan that had its roots in the May 09 mayhem attack on military installation inside Pakistan presumed by the political party of the deposed Prime Minister Imran Khan.

Supporters of Imran Khan believe that the US with the tacit arrangement with the US tilted Pakistan Army facilitated the ouster of PM Imran Khan.

Khan reportedly was talked to have been dismissed by the US for his short trip to Moscow which, as the luck would have it, timed unfortunately with the Russian Military action on Ukraine.

PM Khan wanted to convince the US that had he inkling of the Russian action on Ukraine, he would have summarily avoided the trip to Moscow?

This in the process, a comfortable distance in between PM Khan and the US administration developed which culminated in his insulting ouster.

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For some time, Khan maintained his tempo against the US, however, high placed reports do tell that in the recent days, former Pakistan PM Imran Khan has toned down his ire against the US.

A fresh report confirms that “Former Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan, who had blamed the US after he was ousted from power in April last year, sought the intervention of a US lawmaker amid a government crackdown on his party workers and leaders-the Geo news dated May 20, 2023, reports.

The report is based on a purported audio between Khan and US lawmaker Maxine Moore Waters that leaked on social media which in part says, “Khan was heard briefing Maxine Moore Waters about the situation in Pakistan and requesting her to release a statement in his favor”.

If it is true, (and it is true) then what could be deduced from the leaked audio that Imran Khan too now has come to his senses from the hysteria on the US which then again means that “in politics, interests are only permanent”.

Imran Khan apparently may have sought the assistance of the US lawmaker keeping an eye on the recent Indian immediacy with the US and the impact of such a juxtaposition on the regional stability and peace in Pakistan.
Clearly India has an upper hand logically in the region after Modi’s US visit.

In addition, Khan also is in knowledge that Pakistan sans the US support will have to go through a rough weather given the ground reality that the Russian Federation is yet to acknowledge Pakistan as a fitting and competing political match to the rising Indian regime.

However, it is not to say that the Russians have so far ignored the Pakistani state but instead have provided some hints that for the Russians, Pakistan is already a matching force for India and they need Pakistan in South Asian region only to provide a fitting answer to the India’s increased hobnob with the US through Indo-Pacific Strategy, the QUAD and on a private bilateral basis as well.

To recall, some two years ago, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov after concluding his bilateral levels talks in Delhi, went straight to Islamabad.

The infuriated erratic Godi media tried to tease Sergei Lavrov and when enough was enough, Lavrov instructed his Delhi based Ambassador Nikolai Kudashev to air Russia’s structured policy on Pakistan.

Kudashev asserted, “We have an equally strong ties with Islamabad as good as it is with Delhi”.

For Russia it had become necessary and urgent to signal India that its present intimacy with the US is what, the Russian feel and conclude, was unwarranted given India’s signing of the Security Pact with the then USSR (now dissolved) and India must get to understand that the present-day Russian Federation is the de facto heir apparent of the former USSR.

Thus, Lavrov’s flight from Delhi straight to Islamabad was an appropriate diplomatic gesture to the Indian State that Russia is not at ease with India’s increased closeness with the US.

That Russia and Pakistan have come closer in the recent days get reflected from a news item published by the Express Tribune dated 09 July, 2023, which says in part that, “The first truck carrying export goods from Russia has successfully arrived in Pakistan, marking an important mile stone under the transport-routes (TR) convention. The Road Transport agreement between Pak- and Russia holds great importance in the current geographical and economic context, according to federal minister of Communications Asad Mehmood.

Similarly, the first Russian Crude Oli shipment arrived in Karachi, Pakistan last month after a deal between the two countries.

Importantly. Pakistan paid Russia in Chinese currency-Yuwan. This is news.

This in a slanted manner speaks the very inner intent of Russia which is set to extend its continued support to troubled Pakistan.

The fresh arming of the US to India is sure to bring in the regional balance in India’s favor as Pakistan is not in a position to assert its role in South Asian region because of the current political instability and the grand fissure in between the political leadership and the Army.

The two don’t trust each other which is what makes Pakistan even weaker in South Asia.

For the Eurasian Times Parth Satam writes dated July 02, 2023, reports that “the slew of defense deals and jet-engine developments offer with India before and after PM Modi’s US visit was possibly meant to secure direct Indian participation in an anti-China alliance”.

The deals as mentioned above meets the expectations of US Secretary of State for East Asian and ear East Asian Affairs Daniel Kritenbrink’s of greater Indian involvement in South China Sea.
This means that apart from South Asia, the US needs the presence of Indian even in a far-flung area of South China Sea.

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However, if India continues to clinch to the US more, then China and the Russian Federation may prefer to arm Pakistan with the needed classy military hardware(s) in order to match the increased India’s superiority in order to maintain the India bent South Asian balance of power.

If the world politics goes as the way it appears, then a China-Russian Alliance in a combined manner may enter Nepal as both apparently have felt of late that the US too has entered into Nepali politics in a gigantic way. The R-C coalition is already in Nepal to put it simply, I guess.

The US increased influence in Nepali politics is visible with the advent of Millennium Project which perhaps necessitated both China and Russia to begin influencing Nepali politics perhaps to blunt the domineering US politics of late.

Interestingly, US grip in Nepali politics has in a way reduced the phenomenal Indian hold but yet India “appoints” Nepal’s Prime Minister as so claimed by sitting and India indoctrinated Nepal PM.

To keep South Asian regional stability China and the Russian coalition perhaps will not mind to enter in the South Asian region through the kind courtesy of Pakistan and Nepal.

That Russia is suddenly more interested in Nepal after a long gap of several decades and decades becomes clear when one notes with satisfaction that while Nepal’s national Assembly Chairman Ganesh Pd. Timsina was on a week-long trip to Russian Federation this April, his Russian counterpart Valentina Matvienko asked Nepali delegation for detailed project proposals from Nepal for over a dozen projects including railways, roads and hospitals that could be developed and operated with Moscow’s support.

This sudden change in the hearts of Russia towards Nepal must have some thing to do with the increased US presence in Nepal.

So, let’s presume, both China and Russia must have decided to enter Nepal in a combined manner to blunt the politics of the countries that have of late increased their play in South Asia, Nepal included.

Or else why the far-flung Russia which has frankly speaking, no direct stake in Nepali politics prefer Nepali developments?

The fact is that when this year Vladimir Putin and President Xi Jinping met in Moscow, they hopefully discussed on how to increase their combined presence in South Asia through Nepal.

If it is so then the China-Russian Coalition may now prefer to enter Sri Lanka and the Maldives hopefully to blunt India’s uninterrupted “micromanagement”. Will Pakistan enter into this coalition as a competing South regional force? Why is the rush of world powers in this part of the world? Keep on guessing. That’s all.