Kathmandu: A sort of political blizzard is likely to overwhelm Nepal soon.

Destructive politics appear to have already taken a shape which awaits only its formalization in a week or so.

The frenzied play that is being played in the dim corners of Kathmandu backed by some alien forces in the South will, if it does happen, apparently be very hard to be tackled by the ruling Maoists-the party in government.

Exactly after a lapse of three years four months (minus 12 days to be more precise), such a destructive political play is being staged by forces that are visibly inimical to the Maoists and its new found ally-China in the North.

Recall, the fateful date of November 22, 2005, when the New Delhi establishment had brought all of its Nepali stooges cum servants to Delhi and forced them all to sign the most infamous 12 point agreement that summarily was aimed at dethroning the erstwhile monarch from the Nepali throne.

The tacit understanding that New Delhi administration under Indian Goliath Shyam Saran managed in between the then seven agitating political parties and the Maoists then residing in New Delhi remained instrumental in dismantling the Nepali Royalty. India must have been happy for having uprooted the 240 year long Royal institution of Nepal.

But what political gains she pocketed after the Royalty was marginalized?

Definitely, when India was all set and prepared to extract bigger political gains, the Chinese regime entered into Nepal in a very big way.

It were the Indian continued follies of the Himalayan order that facilitated and encouraged even the Chinese regime to make its “grand way” in Nepalese political affairs to the extent that India by now must have been suffering from China phobia.

A country which remained under the mercy of the Indian establishment for decades and decades willingly dared to free itself from the Indian pocket and went in search of yet another equally powerful pouch.

The Chinese bag suited the Maoists most, let’s presume.

The Indians have reasons to become highly sensitive and thus uneasy too.

The background:

On December 3, 2008, the visiting Chinese foreign minister Yang Jiechi sent a loud and clear message here and there by stating that “China will remain ever at the back of Nepal in order to safeguard the territorial integrity and national independence of Nepal”.

Definitely this message was aimed at India wherein China wanted to signal India that “enough would be enough” if the former further squeezed Nepal under one pretext or the other.

The Chinese foreign minister said this right here in Kathmandu. When he was saying so, he faced South at the Chinese embassy reception hall where this pen pusher was also invited as a guest.

Stunned by this Chinese tentative admonition, the Indian Ambassador Rakesh Sood then met the former King on December 9, 2008, and apparently appealed the former monarch to devise schemes to dilute this dangerous Chinese warning. This secret meet took place in Soaltee Hotel and consumed more than two hours from 6.30 till 8.30 PM.

The King reportedly said the Indian Ambassador, “Now face the music…I can be of no use to you in this regard…I have already been sidelined…..Don’t drag me into politics”.

A panicked India got yet another political blow and that once again from the Chinese side.

December 12, 2008, the Chinese Ambassador, Qui Guohong, bluntly declared that “China will protect Nepal’s sovereignty and national independence come what may”.

Some thing was more in store for the Indian establishment.

The Chinese Ambassador once again recapped on December 28, 2009, wherein he stated that “Nepal-China relations were taller than Mount Everest”.

The fresh Chinese “vinegary pill” must have been very hard to be gulped by the Indian establishment.

Come 2009-the New Year:

The Chinese excessive socialization with the new Nepal regime did not stop but instead increased to the utter dismay of the country across the border in the South.

While greeting a Nepal Foreign Ministry delegation led by Foreign Secretary Gyan Chandra Acharya on February 21, 2009, the Chinese foreign minister Yang Jiechi once again assured Nepal of the Chinese support and that too unconditionally.

Look what he says, “Nepal-China relationship now be based on strategic partnership”.

The use of the word “strategic” must have pained the Indian regime to the hilt for obvious political reasons.

The wide and broad political overtone that the word strategic carries with it was perhaps sufficient for the Indian regime to smell rat against the incumbent Maoist regime in Nepal.

Some thing more to taunt the Indian regime still remained in Chinese store.

By the end of February, last month, Chinese Assistant Foreign Minister, Hu Zengyue, came to Kathmandu and exploded a political bombshell whose tremors were largely felt in New Delhi.

The Assistant Minister from China pushed a new draft-proposal of Peace and Friendship Treaty to the perusal of the Nepal Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal Dahal in order to replace a former one that was signed as back as in 1960.

(Unsubstantiated reports claim that Prime Minister Dahal had himself approached the Chinese side when he was in Beijing last year to come up with such a new treaty).

The Chinese side forwarded the fresh treaty proposal at a time when the Indian regime would want a new extradition treaty to be signed by the Nepali side at the earliest.

The Indian Foreign Secretary Shiv Shanker Menon came here a fortnight ago and pressed Nepali side very hard for signing the extradition treaty.

The Indian draft of the extradition treaty is such that India could ask the deportation of any third country nationals whom it concluded to have engaged in anti-India activities from Nepali soil.

The Indian model of the draft treaty if signed by Nepal then the Pakistanis and the Chinese nationals will be the main target. The Europeans and the Americans may be the Indian targets after the Pakistanis and the Chinese nationals.

Nepal PM Dahal has so far not made any commitment from his side to the utter chagrin of the Indian regime.

As if the Indian pain were not enough, the Chinese embassy spokesperson Shan Ido on March 6, 2009, bluntly declared that China has already forwarded the draft of a new Peace and Friendship Treaty with Nepal to Nepal PM Dahal.

Shan Ido revealed this fact only after when the secretly handed over treaty draft got leaked from the Nepal’s Foreign Ministry sources.

The Chinese have done their job well. They did what they had to.

By now what has been abundantly clear is that the Maoists who were attentively nursed and cared by the Indian regime while staging a decade long People’s War have suddenly abandoned the Gandhian camp only to join the land wherefrom the Maoism originated.

A fatal blow to the Indian authorities.

This must have come as a bolt from the blue to the Indian mandarins seated in the South Block.

Thus the South Block and the ruling elites of the Indian establishment have enough logical reasons to “teach a befitting lesson” to the Maoists who in a way or the other betrayed the Indian assistance which they received in their troubled days.

The stage is thus set in Delhi.

The plan?

How to unseat the Maoists from power?

The annoyance in India has suddenly increased considering what if the Chinese treaty is signed much ahead of the Indian extradition treaty by Nepal government?

It is this fear obsession that has alarmed the Indian regime in the recent days.

But the naughty Indian regime knows how to fix the nail on the head of the Maoists as it did with King Gyanendra in 2005.

It is under this design more so to bring this design into rapid action that suddenly Nepal’s major political leaders have pretended that they have fallen sick. Nepal’s medical practitioners have advised Girija Prasad Koirala, K.P. Oli, Jhal Nath Khanal, Bam Dev Gautam, Surya Bahadur Thapa and a host of others to land in Delhi for the overall checkup of their respective illness.

Understandably, the Nepali leaders will be “thoroughly” checked by Dr. Man Mohan Singh, Dr. Sonia Gandhi and Dr. Shiv Shanker Menon.

Analysts claim that these Indian medical practitioners know how to correct the Nepali ailments.

The Nepali case has already been diagnosed by the Indian medical doctors.

The diagnosis is that Nepal is currently suffering from “pro-China syndrome”.

The Indian doctors say that it is a dangerous “viral fever” deliberately embraced by the Nepali Maoists which needed urgent surgical operation or else the entire South Asian region may suffer from the same disease time permitting.

As stated in our last week, the former Nepal King was not in India for a mere pleasure trip has come true.

The King is in India. Koirala together with his daughter Sujata are leaving for New Delhi Wednesday.

K.P. Oli, the defeated UML leader but yet excessively closer to the Indian regime is fortunately in New Delhi already.

Surya Bahadur Thapa and Jhal Nath Khanal are soon to land in New Delhi.

The Indian design is to unseat the Maoists prior to the signing of the Chinese draft treaty freshly pushed by the Chinese regime. The Indian authorities fear that if Nepal PM Dahal remains in power up to April next month, he will surely sign the Chinese drafted Peace Treaty while he will be in Beijing next month.

It is this fear that has pressed the Indian leaders to summarily invite the Nepali leaders to be in Delhi. Some have already approached the destination and the rest will land in Delhi by the end of this week.

The purpose is to collect ideas and views on how to unseat the Maoists from power.

The former King is also the guest of honor.

The Indian side is expected to mediate in between the invited party leaders and the former King.

If need be, the Indian establishment may elevate the ranks of the former King.

But how remains the Himalayan question?

Keep your fingers crossed until New Delhi devises a suitable formula to unseat the Maoists from Nepal’s power corridors.

But will the Maoists easily quit the government? They will surely create havoc in this country which will once again push the country towards a civil war of the Himalayan order.

Let’s see how New Delhi plays its cards against China to dilute the latter’s increased influence in a country wherein the former have had a free travel since the beginning of the 1950s?

If so, will China in the emerging situation in Nepal remain a mere spectator then? Or India will summarily bulldoze the emerging political situation and make its way as it used to do in the past?

King Gyanendra expected that the Chinese would come to his rescue but they didn’t. Will it be the same with the Maoists?

Understandably, New Delhi has become like a cat pushed to the wall which would surely retaliate with full force for its very survival.

Let’s see how the politics takes its course in the days ahead.

(This write-up will appear in the March 11, 2009 edition of the Telegraph Weekly)

Comments (17)

India failed Nepal in many ways: imposed Hindi language out of no where; created proxy parties by breaking its traditional ally BP's Nepal Congress; incited Madhesi for a One Madhes One Pradesh... encouraged to fight kathmandu at the expense of its international border. Agaist this back drop of Indian hegemony, Nepal was left with no choice but to go with China. As for the threat of turning Nepal into Afganistan, bring it on.. We 23 million will be united to fight you all in every river bank, canyon, and the caves of the might mountains. Remember, winning a gurrila war is not that easy. US is having a hard time with the Talibans, and India had to back off from Sri Lanka. Do not give us that BS; it will be very costly for you as well.

Commented by sameer - March 30, 2009 @ 4:32 PM

I'm an indian. V indians always have friendly attitute with u people. This congress regime in india is responsible for everything.

Commented by Rajkumar - March 14, 2009 @ 10:18 AM

Nepal's going close to China at this pace sends alarming signal to New Delhi, and trust my friends there are no permanent enemies or friends in international politics, India will do everything to destabilize Nepal if it thinks it serves their interest against China. If Nepal doesn't properly balance it's policies vis-a-vis the two neighbours it will become a volatile place and a fighting ground as Afghanistan has already proved to be for India vs Pakistan and USA vs Russia and the only country that will suffer will be Nepal itself.

Commented by Amit Kumar - March 14, 2009 @ 2:29 AM

Maoist has no mandate to rule the nation.. People now understood how maoist came to power.. Till date Maoist played game with innocent people, now people like to play game with them.. See what will happen in coming days>.. I have no faith in Maoist governance and so many people in nepal donot have faith in their leadership. They must go to gungle from where they came.. It is good place for them..

Commented by Sanjay - March 11, 2009 @ 3:35 AM

the maosit have the clear mandate to rule the people, CA eleciton result and peioples' war, how can Girija and Surya Bahadur who do not have any mandate left in Nepal conspire with the Gyane in delhi agisnt the maoisdt. i see only bloodsheed

Commented by kalu - March 10, 2009 @ 11:46 PM

Amol Sagar, mind your language. We can tell you , who are you. Do not force us.

Commented by Amar - March 10, 2009 @ 10:34 PM

Mr.Andy you are right however, even so many independent inteligent people, young generation, writers, journalists etc etc... have been advising to Dahal what is wrong and what is right, but pity this guy has no habit to listen to other but only his idiot advisors. He rather prefers to commit chilidish mistkes and blame others than listen to good advice. Their habit is to look for solutions for each and every problems in dead Marxim. a wise man tries to realize and anluze his mistakes. Wise man welcomes critics, but if somebody points out his blunders and criticzes, will be killed or harrsed. How a man with such mentality can be corrected ? When a angry donkey goes out in the road an accident is imminent, just to take revange he can do anything.

Commented by Rame - March 10, 2009 @ 10:22 PM

Nepal needs to be careful. I actually fear the Chinese more than the Indians. What they did to the Tibetans could easily be done to Nepal too. Atleast, we know how to deal with India. But China is a enigma. As the saying goes, a known enemy is better than an unknown friend. So beware Mr. Prachanda.

Commented by Andy - March 10, 2009 @ 3:11 PM

enough is enough India should seal the border and brake all ties with good for nothing Nepali stooges. opportunist bunch of thugs.

Commented by amol sagar - March 10, 2009 @ 12:38 PM

Nothing good occured after ousting the 240 years monarchy, people are aware more worst situation in coming days. It is fact, no one can overshadow it.

Commented by lahure - March 10, 2009 @ 11:16 AM

lets not put comment, i hate to be nepali now. we tlak we do nothing. we are slave mentality, who got guts to go out in the street and pull girja, surya bahadur and bring them in public and hunt for their feelings of nepal is their father property and they have only rite. lets not forget, what my be the intention but maoist have done some thign that monarcha is not in nepal bilions of dollors of expensess every year can remodel the country infrstructure from his expensess. guys see the budget and revenu i know we not have to be maoist but we are nepali lets work and gather let maoist finish their term we will feel difreent. i swear i am carder of UML i am not maoist but i respect the good deed. see now india is in position to look for loops before he was guiding us. but who cares if we get 100 rupees we go anti government protest, see 99% of protester face they dont know why they are fighting.but when it comes country means no one is fighting.

Commented by prakashchhetri - March 10, 2009 @ 6:43 AM

What ever going to happen , it is just correction of past mistakes.. Lets hope Nepal moves in right direction.. correcting the past mistakes..

Commented by Sanjay - March 10, 2009 @ 5:03 AM

Every one has been formally or informally contribution in Nepal whether Maoists or other political parties or intstitutional monarchical institution especially PN shah and Tribhuvan as well Birendra. Only some of figures were putting the bricks to make the wall of house. In this perspective maoists showed new things within the frame work of institutional monarch or system. That is why nobdoy is bigger and nobody shorter in political activities. I have not thinking so much unified Maoists should be panicking because they have one militant, it means in the world rulling party has not existed one para military. As well they are leading government, In this way they are theoretically and practically very strong but some body is going to India and they could change the Maoists government and so on. It means in all circumstances they are strong or capability to run the country but their innersoul is broken because 13 thousand people got killed duration to their peoples' war, and they themselves realised it was blunder mistake if people freely give verdict people will not be behalf of Moists. Maoists top leaders confess Jung Bahadur's rifle was not good that is why PM Prachanda was telling after election we could see whether Jung Bahadur or Rama presence. It means they knew conflict could not create the good thing for people.If Maoists are behalf of people PM should announced the referendom for whether restablish the monarchical institution or not. Then everything will right in order. People verdict is one of the best option to run the country. Ex-king has right to meet even world leaders, that is his personal thing. To make the peoples' war successed most of top leaders of Maoists were getting shelter in India. India is source to change the Nepali politics. If sone one get injustice they go to India and taking good or bad things, it is not good to illustrate. But any way 240 year old monarchical institution is time to re-stablish that is why it will be one of the active process. But we people should accept, Every political or non-political parties are doing same thing. For example, our political leaders are using umbrella when raining in New Delhi. Everything is possible in Nepal, Earlier years Maoists were terrorist, most of political parties were accept even those politial parties are government either out of government. It means politics is dirty game. How major political parties have been fit in every corner as up and down down situation. It means it is good for Maoists to show their plitical tractise. but same time Unified Maoists also respect to ex-king and accept the ceremonaial head of government. In this way now it is key to do such kind of job. Because Prachanda and ex-king were good friend because when earlier years Prachand was demanded to sit negotiation table with ex.king otherwise they will participating.

Commented by Hope - March 10, 2009 @ 3:54 AM

Had Prachanda been clever, he could have milked both Inida and China equally well and made Nepal a prosperous land. We are in such a strategic bargaining position. Alas, this guy is a complete idiot and his hands are stained so badly with blood he cannot even get the stains away due to his dependence on YCL and scoundrels like Jamarkattel. Pashupatinath bless Nepal.

Commented by Prem - March 9, 2009 @ 11:56 PM

It is smelling something fishy definitely but I am amazed how would it be possible this time !!

Commented by pallaghare - March 9, 2009 @ 10:43 PM

absolutely he should quickly go and sign the treaty with china,same on our political leaders instead of solving the problem inside the country they always sell their soul to indian dogs,where's our sovereignty and our identity?its too humiliating and these political leaders are the worms in the gutters. Shit! god save our country.

Commented by babu bhai - March 9, 2009 @ 10:14 PM

Prachanda can go tomorrow and sign the treaty. Why wait till April.

Commented by Shikhar - March 9, 2009 @ 5:50 PM

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