Kathmandu: The Maoists have set the ball rolling.

The ball is now in the government’s courtyard. Failing to address the Maoists somewhat gauche demands will mean the formation of several parallel governments practically in each and every district of the country sooner than later.

The process of the formation of such analogous government(s) has begun with full velocity which has already put a big question mark over the Comprehensive Peace Agreement, CPA, and the very validity of the interim constitution itself.

Market analysts presume that formation of parallel governments across the country has already made the interim constitution a defunct one. The constitution now in force has thus gone to the dogs.

By the same token, the Comprehensive Peace Agreement that had tied the Maoists to the mainstream politics for over two years plus too has become null and void demanding thus a new pact in between the Maoists and the ruling coalition partners if the nation-state were not to be declared a complete “failed state”.

By extension, this should also mean that the New Delhi prearranged and maneuvered 12 point agreement, November 22, 2005, too has become a superfluous one thus New Delhi will have to find yet another “loophole” to enter into Nepal’s politics to maintain the continued regulation of its all pervasive penetration in this country’s politics.

Politics have slipped out of the hands of Delhi, Nepal’s major political parties, to put it mildly.

The Nepal Maoists will not reconcile for less this time around, this much is at least clear from the manner they have come to the streets everywhere across the country since November 1, 2009.

The lower stratum cadres appear to be in a mood to continue their fight to finish.

Even if the top hats of the Maoist leadership yield, per chance, to some common formulae and resume the disrupted parliament, the lower rung Maoist cadres will keep on the agitation to the extent they can thereby signaling their own top hats that they will not obey to their diktats any longer come what may.

By this time, the frustrated militias in the cantonments, the neglected grass root cadres of the Maoists and the middle rank leaders of this party have already concluded that they were being taken for a ride by their own top hats seated in the upper echelons of the party.

But still a good number of the diehard Maoist cadres are with the top hats who could shake the country, as they have already done it, and can even catapult the country’s politics should instructions from above approached them.

This does mean that the Maoist are still not a lost case who can, if left unchecked, chart even the fate of this nation their desired “People’s Republic” way.

What is more than astounding is that the Maoists have acquired such a dangerous posture only after its top leadership met with the Chinese President, Hu Jin Tao, October 16, 2009, in the Jinan city of Shandong province, China.

Notably, upon return from his Beijing trip, Comrade Prachanda is reported to have said that the “impending Maoists agitation has the tacit support of the Chinese regime”.

The Chinese authorities either in Beijing or in Kathmandu have so far not debunked this Prachanda claim and thus what could be understood that Prachanda in effect is being backed by the Chinese establishment.

Benefit of doubt, as it is.

Reports being made available to this paper/website claim that President Hu made the first question to Prachanda.

The question was: “Why you resigned from your Prime Ministerial Post, May 3, 2009”?

A dumb founded Prachanda told President Hu of the events that led him to resign.

President Hu’s question has meaning underneath and may not have taken Prachanda’s explanation at its face value.

First, Hu wanted Maoists led government to continue for he concludes that it would be the radical communist government which could only safeguard its vital interests, more so as regards Tibet, in Nepal.

Secondly, Hu’s preference is still that a Maoist led government be in place in Nepal sooner the better.

This has some logic because while the Maoists were in power, anti-China activities from the Nepalese soil had decreased considerably much to the comfort of the regime in the North.

However, Hu’s question as to why Prachanda quit the PM post was a deliberate one. President Hu wanted to go deep into the matter. The question had some meaning which Hu wanted to know from the horses’ mouth.

High placed sources have told this paper, later which was substantiated by Minister Shanker Pokhrel, that the issue of Rukmangad Katwal was just a ruse for Prachanda to resign.

Matter beneath his resignation was somewhat different than what has been given to understand to the lay men and the Maoist cadres alike.

Sources claim that Prachanda raised this issue and ballooned it out of proportion and gave the entire issue a cover of People’s Supremacy which it was not. Though the Maoists stick to it even as of today and their agitation does testify that they really mean it.

Prachanda just wanted to lift this issue then, and he and his party did raise it at time of Prachanda’s resignation which is continuing as of today even, so that President could intervene and his impending China visit could be prolonged. Prachanda wanted his China trip postponed under any circumstances.

The fact is that PM Prachanda, as the rumors had it then, was being hard pressed by the Chinese authorities to sign a similar treaty with China what the Indians had been demanding from Nepal.

Prachanda just wanted to avoid this treaty signing-in ceremony in Beijing and thus the controversy of Katwal was brought to the fore to send a subtle message to China that things have gone upside down in Nepal and thus the Treaty could not be signed for the time being.

Minister Shanker Pokhrel made such revelations just last week while talking to some media men in his home district-Dang.

So it should be in this light President Hu’s first question to Prachanda should be taken when they met each other in Jinan, October 16, 2009.

Prachanda is clever indeed but President Hu is not that dull too not to understand the Nepal Maoists political maneuverings.

But yet, President HU would wish Prachanda to bounce back to power in Nepal so that Tibet remains safe.

Hu’s conclusion is backed by logic and the intimacy that the Nepal Maoists have with the Chinese regime.

China wants to use Nepal Maoists to keep Tibet safe.

Prachanda is learnt to have assured President Hu that he and his party men will do the needful in safeguarding the Chinese interests in Nepal.

And this is the reason as to why the Indian establishment has become suddenly restive.

The reasons galore.

First, the Maoists whom the Indian regime nurtured and provided shelter for all along the People’s War have gone to the lap of the arch rival regime in the North.

Secondly, the Indians believe that the Indian Maoists of late have been receiving adequate support from the Nepal Maoists including the lethal weapons.

The Indian PM and Home Minister P. Chidambaram are on record to have suspected the Nepal Maoists extending clandestine help to the Indian Naxals who of late have been creating havoc inside India.

The Indian regime remains in a panicky situation because of the destructions being carried out by the Indian Maoists and also fears that if the “red corridor” that begins from Kathmandu and ends up in Andhra Pradesh, if not devastated on time, then the Indian Maoists will create more problems for the government in the days ahead.

To boot, the Indian regime internally concludes that the Indian Maoists have been receiving weapons from China.

But so far they have not made it public for fear of appropriate retaliation from the Chinese side.

The Indian conclusion is also that the Chinese weapons may have been entering into their territories through the kind courtesy of Nepal Maoists. This however, remains yet to be substantiated.

To add insult to injury, just the other day, a senior Maoist leader, C.P. Gajurel, point blank told the media that “Nepal Maoists fully support the Indian Maoists in their fresh struggle”.

All put together, India wants to cut down the size of the Nepal Maoists. The fresh rush to New Delhi by practically all the major politicians of Nepal should be taken in this light.

India wants the formation of a broader Democratic front which could match the increasing RED influence in Nepal.

The last one to visit New Delhi is Jhal Nath Khanal. New Delhi wants Khanal to be used against the Maoists.

Whether Khanal with China bend will jump to the fold of Delhi or not will take some time to come to the open.

New Delhi even thinks of breaking of the current lame duck government replacing it with a more India friendly one.

How China proceeds in the days ahead will have to be watched.

Some political analysts claim that India could even engineer a new policy wherein the Nepal President may be told to apologize and may eventually resign from his current post out of humiliation and the vacant post will be occupied by Girija Prasad Koirala. This could be the inner design of Koirala and Prachanda. Rumors are circulating like this in Kathmandu’s political circuit. Of late, Koirala-Prachanda secret meet has intensified.

If this does happen then the Maoists will be more than happy.

Happy Maoists. Happy Koirala. Happy India.

Nepal President is being made a sacrificial goat, it is widely rumored. Comrade Rohit too thinks on this line as mentioned above.

Dirty politics this.

Comments (3)

there is noway to give maoist to rule the country bcoz it is the world wide truth that the largest party is liable to lead the government.Now the situation is worse the man who was defeated in two constituency has become president and so many defeated have become ministers, may be that is the first history they have made in world, it has make nepali people all over the world shamefull, really it s shamefull

Commented by hari pathak - December 23, 2009 @ 1:13 AM

Though proud of being independent, Nepal has been made a Chess Game Board for both the North and the South for which Nepali leaders are proudly supporting to this extent from the very begining.The immediate cause may be anything, but the leaders r proud of being themselves and to make the country itself the Sacrificial Goat. Sad History and Story for the People.

Commented by newprince - November 6, 2009 @ 10:36 AM

Girija Babu cannot live without political power but he can live without air.If Girija Babu was not opportunist He ould not overthrow the historical monarchical institution. Any way institution was one of the best and essential thing in Nepali people. But greadynesss to be a first president of Nepal Girija Babu eaten his own word like baby king concept.In conclusion Prahand is more talent thand 6 decades involivment of Girija Babu. Maoists brain is very talent than other major political parties in Nepal. But we appeal Prahand we people do not care you and your party could dominant to other political parties but we people only care we should get peace and security and development of country/people. If major politial parties are really behalf of people they give fully opportunity to maoist to rule the country. In public opinion most of major political parties had already ruled the country now it is time to see Maoists.

Commented by Karan - November 5, 2009 @ 6:12 AM

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